Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 2.147838 2.455669 2.793328 3.191411 3.648206 4.156352 4.765030
2025-07-27 1.708157 2.131663 2.639295 3.293633 4.116388 5.118847 6.436465
2025-08-03 1.427816 1.891116 2.481042 3.289389 4.371782 5.776157 7.745000
2025-08-10 1.224931 1.702823 2.342005 3.262701 4.560758 6.334283 8.956599
2025-08-17 1.062677 1.540001 2.206031 3.207680 4.684331 6.794440 10.062512
2025-08-24 0.966962 1.454710 2.161728 3.267255 4.964240 7.489942 11.570294
2025-08-31 0.885681 1.378537 2.118186 3.316591 5.225392 8.174329 13.126866
2025-09-07 0.801156 1.286387 2.038098 3.296441 5.369977 8.685424 14.456612
2025-09-14 0.720757 1.191101 1.941510 3.236302 5.438387 9.073931 15.617640
2025-09-21 0.657186 1.115917 1.868393 3.204451 5.545707 9.530157 16.933597
2025-09-28 0.598986 1.043405 1.791715 3.156766 5.617433 9.927235 18.180551
2025-10-05 0.590543 1.055337 1.858726 3.364539 6.157212 11.192154 21.132213
2025-10-12 0.545469 1.002050 1.813884 3.380834 6.377803 11.953519 23.331890
2025-10-19 0.516783 0.976340 1.817311 3.489776 6.790744 13.132537 26.521171
2025-10-26 0.476466 0.923962 1.765101 3.485251 6.981634 13.904025 28.991624
2025-11-02 0.437942 0.870594 1.704841 3.456925 7.119652 14.583161 31.354859
2025-11-09 0.400411 0.814998 1.634070 3.398527 7.187426 15.123626 33.487724
2025-11-16 0.379482 0.790710 1.622982 3.461759 7.517231 16.248494 37.052946
2025-11-23 0.359344 0.765833 1.607861 3.514125 7.828505 17.367631 40.752112
2025-11-30 0.334368 0.727987 1.561517 3.492737 7.972276 18.130559 43.716801
2025-12-07 0.308208 0.684854 1.499401 3.428905 8.011018 18.657396 46.180450
2025-12-14 0.286903 0.650354 1.452722 3.395099 8.115552 19.348349 49.141542
2025-12-21 0.266273 0.615311 1.401333 3.344489 8.173565 19.933752 51.911687